Auxerre – Troyes
Auxerre sacked their coach a couple of weeks ago and it immediately paid dividends last Friday when they beat Creteil 2-0 away. This was a much improved performance by AJA and I’d expect them to kick on again tonight. Generally, their home form hasn’t been too bad this season and has produced some solid results. Troyes visiting tonight are dangerous opponents, but away from home they are nothing special at all. In fact, some of their road results have been appalling, especially the 0-1 loss at CA Bastia result. They just can’t be relied upon and I could see this being a difficult match for them facing a side fresh full of hunger, motivation and drive for their new manager. Auxerre DNB has to be the play at a very generous price.
Prediction: Auxerre 2-1 Troyes
Recommended bet: Auxerre 0AH @1.99 5/10
Nancy – Caen
The problem Caen have is away from home against top 10 opposition. Off the top of my head I don’t think they have actually beaten a decent side on the road this season. Tonight they will be without their best player and leading goalscorer Mathieu Duhamel. This is a massive blow and it definitely gives Nancy an edge. Crucially for the hosts, their star man Jeff Louis is back from suspension and he can spearhead their attack force which was blunt at Clermont last week. There’s not an awful lot of difference between these 2 teams and with home advantage Nancy look a really good price to me on this DNB line. I just don’t believe Caen can win the match and at best they are only likely to draw.
Prediction: Nancy 2-0 Caen
Recommended bet: Nancy 0AH @ 2.0 6/10
Chateauroux – Nimes
It seems that Chateauroux are constantly underestimated at home in every match. Ridiculously, Nimes are somehow favourites for this contest, despite them missing their best player to injury. Vincent Gragnic is injured and this is a massive blow because he’s a key part of their offence. A major contributor of goals and assists, Nimes will have to make do without him and he’ll be missed. Chateauroux have looked a bit dodgy in their last couple of matches but they should perform better tonight. Nimes aren’t a bad side but they are nothing special at all and definitely beatable. The price on the hosts DNB is really juicy and has to be backed IMO.
Prediction: Chateauroux 1-0 Nimes
Recommended bet: Chateauroux 0AH @ 1.99 5/10
CA Bastia – Creteil
Creteil are ridiculously short for this match. For a team that has really struggled of late they have no right to be prices at such poor odds, even in a fixture like this. It’s true that CA Bastia are the worst side in the ligue but even they’ve shown some improvement recently. An impressive 1-0 win against Troyes was followed up last week with a creditable 0-1 loss at Tours with 10 men for most of the match. It’s perhaps slightly dangerous backing them, because in theory they have nothing to play for, but I can’t ignore this price. All the pressure is on Creteil to win, they desperately need 3 points and that can do strange things to sides mentally. I’m not sure the visitors are good enough to obtain victory and taking CAB +0.5 is definitely a value bet. There’s danger involved here but there’s no denying that you’re getting an edge on the bookies by backing the hosts @ this price and line.
Prediction: CA Bastia 1-1 Creteil
Recommended bet: CA Bastia +0.5 @ 1.86 4/10
Dijon – Arles
4th best home team against the 4th worst away side (statistically). Both teams have shown some poor form recently though, especially Dijon. There’s no doubt that the hosts are priced up far too short, Arles +0.75 could be classed as a value bet. I might even take them if the price rises much more, but for now I am happy to sit back and just avoid the game. I think Arles can get something though and a draw likely.
Prediction: Dijon 1-1 Arles NO BET
Brest – Le Havre
I personally rate Le Havre to be the best away side in Ligue 2 and it’d be dangerous backing against them tonight. Brest have been in form though and look very defensively assured of late. The pitch at Le Stade Francis le Ble will only help the hosts too, it’s been in shocking condition recently and you need to play a direct style here. That won’t suit Le Havre who are more technical, but it doesn’t mean they can’t get a result. A draw seems the most probable outcome to me, either 0-0 or 1-1.
Prediction: Brest 0-0 Le Havre NO BET
Istres – Niort
I’m not going to touch this contest but I have a feeling that Niort will win. They just have a lot of momentum right now and I sense they might even end up as a shock promoted team. Istres are a very hit and miss side with which anything is possible, so who knows. I find this game pretty difficult to predict and it’s an obvious no bet situation.
Prediction: Istres 1-2 Niort NO BET
Laval – Tours
Laval have looked much better since they changed their manager, many people might expect them to continue their momentum today. They might do but Tours aren’t a bad team and this is a local derby, which adds some spice. Laval’s weakness can be against fast pacey teams and Tours certainly have ability in the final third of the field. It should be an open contest, I’m not sure which way it’ll go and the bookies seem to have their lines set pretty fair.
Prediction: Laval 2-2 Tours NO BET