Arles – Laval
Both teams still need the points in order to survive. Arles have a great home record this season and conceded just 9 goals at Le Parc de Sports. They draw too many games, thats their problem. They would probably accept a point here too, a reason which worries me slightly. Laval have played a lot better since they sacked Philippe Hinchberger but they were awful in their last away match, losing 4-0 at Creteil. That result definitely concerns me but perhaps it was a ‘one off’ If someone is going to win then I’d say Arles are the more likely, but the draw risk is of medium risk. I’m tempted enough by the -0.25 line to back them for a few units @odds-against.
Prediction: Arles 1-0 Laval
Recommended bet: Arles -0.25 @ 2.02 4/10
Clermont – Angers
I really like the hosts here. They’ve been in much better form of late and looked impressive in all areas of the field. Now that they’ve finally managed to find some goalscorers, Clermont are a strong force once again. Angers might have won last week but overall they’ve cracked badly in their bid for promotion. Mentally they just dont seem a good team IMO so how can they be relied upon? Also they played on Tuesday night in the French cup, have a ton of injuries and are sure to be affected by this. As long as Clermont retain motivation I can’t see beyond a home win here @ decent odds.
Prediction: Clermont 2-0 Angers
Recommended bet: Clermont -0.25 @ 2.07 6/10
Le Havre – Tours
I have a strong feeling that Le Havre will win this match. Tours look physically and mentally finished, thats how it felt last week anyway. Le Havre need the points more here but their home form is pretty bad. They just haven’t been able to perform in front of their own fans this season, I’m not sure why. But they are at full strength tonight and this seems like a really good opportunity. The price is acceptable enough IMO, I just expect them to show a higher level of energy and drive. Tours really did look so flat last week against Creteil and their manager has admitted that they are concentrating on next season already.
Prediction: Le Havre 2-0 Tours
Recommended bet: Le Havre -0.5 @ 2.16 4/10
Metz – CA Bastia
Top vs bottom, so this should be a blowout win yeh? Well, I’m not so sure. Metz haven’t won a match by more than one goal for quite a long time. Their offence hasn’t really fired that well in recent times, plus key striker Diafra Sakho is rated doubtful for this contest. CA Bastia have no pressure on their shoulders and have actually been performing better in the last few weeks. If Metz win tonight they will be virtually promoted. Strange things can happen to teams when they get close to the finishing line, maybe something weird will happen here. I think Metz will win, but it might only be a close success.
Prediction: Metz 1-0 CA Bastia NO BET
Nancy – Dijon
The hosts have more motivation and a need to win, but continue to have big defensive issues. Three of their first choice back four are ruled out tonight which should cause them some problems. They managed pretty well last week at Chateauroux but maybe Dijon will pose a more difficult test. The visitors haven’t been in particularly brilliant form but could put a spanner in the works if they can take advantage of Nancy’s defensive absentees. It is worth noting that Nancy have really struggled at home in recent times, failing to win any of their last five. Both teams will have to attack tonight and I see this being a really open game of football. I’ll have a piece of the overs.
Prediction: Nancy 2-2 Dijon
Recommended bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.26 4/10
Nimes – Istres
19th vs 18th here, it’s going to be a really tense contest. It’s a must win for Nimes and I think overall they will get the 3 points. But can they be relied upon? I’m just not sure. Both teams are going to fight seriously hard and I’d say the overall result is difficult to predict. If I had to stick my neck out then I’d say Nimes prevail but @ their current odds-on price I’m not interested.
Prediction: Nimes 1-1 Istres NO BET
Niort – Brest
Everyone will point to the fact that Niort have a great home record in 2014 but they’ve shown recent signs of cracking. 2 losses in their last 3 games is hardly promotion form, has the pressure of the situation got to them? A fixture against Brest is the last thing they would want right now either. The Bretons have been in solid form, hard to beat. I would honestly not be surprised if this match ended as a draw, or even an away win. I’m not going to bet here but I wouldn’t want to put anyone off Brest +0.75.
Prediction: Niort 1-1 Brest NO BET
Troyes – Creteil
Difficult one here because motivation is all with Creteil. Troyes don’t really have a lot to play for anymore because they are too far off the promotion places. Creteil have won their last 2 consecutive games but still need points. I’m not sure if those wins against Laval and Tours were just freaks or if they can properly be trusted. I’m undecided about the result of this match, looks maybe drawish. No doubt Troyes are the better team in paper but this one is all about motivation.
Prediction: Troyes 1-1 Creteil NO BET