Brest – Sochaux
Brest suffered a shock defeat away at Arles last weekend, but I’d say they have a great chance to rebound today. All season long they have been one of the best teams in Ligue 2, especially at home where their record is formidable. Nobody has yet beaten them at Le Stade Francis le Ble and they usually perform very well in ‘big’ fixtures like this one. Normally I would be wary of Sochaux but the visitors have been in a real slump of late, losing 3 straight games in poor fashion. They are in a bit of a crisis right now and until they show otherwise, it’s probably a good idea to bet against them. Taking the hosts -0.25 makes sense to me, at very worst Brest should draw.
Prediction: Brest 2-0 Sochaux
Recommended bet: Brest -0.25 @ 1.79 4/10
Lille – Lyon
OL have only lost one match in the ligue since the end of August, so it would be a bit foolish to bet against them. But this could be a genuine tough trip if Lille actually play to their potential. Les Dogues are so difficult to predict and often look good on the eye without having any end product. Usually at home, they are hard to beat and it’s not beyond the realms of possibility that they at least draw today. Right now, I think Lyon are playing too well for them but I’m not going to bet on OL because I respect the quality on paper of Lille.
Prediction: Lille 1-2 Lyon NO BET
Bordeaux – Reims
Having watched Reims play last week, it’s obvious they are in dire form and completely devoid of any confidence. They should’ve lost against Metz at home but managed to squeeze out a 0-0 draw in unconvincing fashion. But if they play like that today, Bordeaux will easily beat them. Les Girondins are playing well and look set to go on a good run quite soon. Since the winter break, they are steadily improving and 2 wins in their last 3 have boosted morale. I have to say last week they were very unlucky to only draw away at Rennes, despite totally dominating them. I just can’t see Reims coming close today, they are a team under pressure and who have been wilting since the winter break. It’s rare I would advise this line & price but I think the straight win @ 1.70 is the best bet, I don’t like the -0.75 handicap odds in this instance.
Prediction: Bordeaux 2-0 Reims
Recommended bet: Bordeaux -0.5 @ 1.70 6/10
Lens – Rennes
Both teams have just 1 win between them since 2nd December! Obviously recent form is poor and in terms of result I’m not exactly sure. I do however think it’ll be an open encounter, giving a good chance for the overs to hit. Anyone who watches Lens games will know how open they are. Les Sang et Or will ‘give it a good go’ but doing this leaves them exposed at the back. 11 of their last 13 games have contained at least 2 goals, whilst 9 of Rennes last 12 have contained at least 2 in them as well. Because it’s such a nice price, I think over 2.25 is definitely worth a nibble and I’d have to say the chances of actually having a full loss on this bet isn’t that high.
Prediction: Lens 2-2 Rennes
Recommended bet: Over 2.25 goals @ 2.12 3/10
Lorient – Bastia
This is a difficult match between a couple of sides in decent form, especially Bastia. The Corsicans are unbeaten in 9 games and also have a Coupe de la Ligue final to look forward to in the next month or so. They are basically flying and it would be difficult to oppose them. I expect this might be quite an open game of football. Each side has plenty of fast attackers and should be willing to give it a go. It’s just a question of whether or not the strikers can take their chances. I like the look of over 2.25 goals but not many Bastia away games actually end up with 3 or more in them. Maybe a 1-1 draw is the main danger and it wouldn’t surprise me if it ended all square. I’m going to refrain from betting on this one.
Prediction: Lorient 1-1 Bastia NO BET
Metz – Evian
Horrible match between two of the bottom three and really this is capable of going either way. Metz haven’t won for donkeys years, whilst Evian rarely pick up 3 points either. To be fair to the visitors, they have at least picked up a couple of victories in 2015 and have had a 2 week break prior to this match, so it might suit them. This match means an awful lot to Metz though and it’s what I call a ‘kitchen sink’ game for them. They are going to throw EVERYTHING they have at Evian today and it’s quite simply a must win for them. I have a feeling Les Grenats get 3 points but there’s no way in a million years I could bet on them!
Prediction: Metz 2-1 Evian NO BET
Toulouse – St Etienne
A winless 6 game run has halted Sainte’s progress and they need to return to winning ways if they are to get their season back on track. Can they win today? Well, I’d say they have a good chance but I’m not interested in betting on them @ this price. Until they get 3 points again then it would be very unwise to back them IMO, but realistically Toulouse is a very winnable fixture, even on the road. Les Violets haven’t had a particularly impressive season and are actually languishing just outside the relegation zone under pressure, so I’m not expecting too much from them today.
Prediction: Toulouse 0-1 St Etienne NO BET