USA MLS – FC Dallas v Real Salt Lake Preview (25/6/16)

DAL-RSL

Dallas preview

The hosts are in good condition health wise with only centre back Zach Loyd ruled it with injury. Versatile defender/midfielder Ryan Hollingshead is rated doubtful, but should suit up. Dallas lost last week away at SKC but were very unlucky to fall behind in the first half. It was a match they dominated until SKC grabbed a couple of goals against the run of play. Dallas weren’t awarded what was a clear ‘ghost goal’ with the ball clearly crossing the line. Had that been given, it might’ve been a different story. Performance wise they were quite impressive but then struggled in the second half as SKC just put men behind the ball. Dallas are unbeaten at home this season, winning five and drawing three matches. They have always been historically strong at this stadium and it’s one of the big fortresses in MLS.

Real Salt Lake preview

RSL head into the match in good form and buoyed by a midweek home win against the Red Bulls (2-1). It took an 88th minute winner to prevail so everyone would’ve been especially jubilant. Following the disaster of last season the Utah side have been much better this term. Fans are especially excited by the form of their attackers, Movsisyan, Martinez and Plata. This trio have a great understanding with each other and are a big threat. Key midfielder Kyle Beckerman is still unavailable because of international duty but the rest of the squad should be injury free. However, there are doubts as to whether or not RSL will rest players here. The visitors have had a fairly taxing schedule of late and obviously played midweek. They are again in action on Tuesday night in the MLS Open Cup. There’s no guarantee a full strength XI will be fielded in this clash.

Conclusion

Because of the extra physical freshness and the possibility of RSL resting some players, Dallas are the rightful favourites here. They are always pretty strong at home and in the MLS home advantage has to be respected a lot anyway. This is a battle between second and third in the Western Conference though so it’s quite a big game, both sides will be desperate to pick up a good result. Dallas are winless in three games heading into the clash and could do with re-finding their goalsoring touch. RSL have played a lot of road games this season so are well used to life on their travels and should be able to come up with a decent gameplan. I just have a feeling they won’t be fully sharp though and Dallas is the sort of place you need to come in peak condition. I’m going to predict a Dallas win but I don’t think RSL will roll over easily.

Prediction: 2-0

Betting analysis

I fancy Dallas to win the match, but not strongly enough to bet on them. The problem is the bookies are only offering a line in between -0.75 and -1. In order to win your bet fully you’dnot only just need Dallas to win, but to prevail by at least two clear goals. The Texans have won four matches by at least that margin so far this season, but only once since mid April. It’s one of those fixtures where they will maybe led by one goal with 10 mins left and the big question is can they get a second on the counter attack? RSL head into this match with all of their last five games containing at least four goals. That’s why the goal line is set at 2.75, but I have some doubts if that will cover tonight. Dallas have a knack of being involved in lower scoring games. I’m not fully sure why that is because their reputation is that of an exciting team. RSL have been firing well in front of goal but perhaps their key men might be a bit flat following a midweek match. Overall, I don’t think there’s enough value in Dallas -0.75 or -1 and the over is too risky. So I’m content to leave this match alone.

Recommended bet: None

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One thought on “USA MLS – FC Dallas v Real Salt Lake Preview (25/6/16)

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