USA MLS – Montreal Impact v New England Preview (2/7/16)

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Montreal preview

The Impact have only won one of their last nine games but have been playing fairly well. In this same period they’ve only lost twice, it’s just a collection of draws which was holding them back. The fixture against SKC was typical of a Montreal sort of game recently. It was fairly end to end and really could’ve gone either way. Ultimately, a draw seemed the fair result. The Canadian outfit were happy to welcome back key man Ignacio Piatti from injury last week and must be delighted how sharp striker Didier Drogba looks at the moment. Key defender Laurent Ciman is unlikely to be available despite Belgium now being knocked out of Euro 2016. The rest of the squad looks set to be in good condition, minus a few players who have been out for a number of weeks now.

New England preview

The Revs progressed in the US Open Cup in midweek against the New York Cosmos. That will have given everyone a boost, although striker Juan Agudelo got injured in that game. New England have a few other players ruled out too, but apart from midfielder Gershon Koffie, nobody of significance misses out. Jay Heaps’ men have had a relatively poor season and currently sit outside of the Eastern Conference playoffs. They do head into this fixture having won 3 of their last 5 games though, including one at Vancouver on the west coast. That was their first victory away from home in 2016 and so far it’s proven to be an anomaly. The Revs aren’t known for being particularly streon on their travels. One huge problem for them both at home and away has been keeping clean sheets. Just 1 in 11 games has been obtained and the defence looks anything but secure.

Conclusion

This has the makings of a potentially decent game. Montreal have shown a willingness to attack more at home this season and their last two fixtures at Stade Saputo have especially been end to end contests. The way that New England defend these days mean you have to fancy Montreal to score at least a couple of goals. The visitors have the potential to score as well with the likes of Kei Kamara now in their ranks. One concern for Montreal was how easily they seemed to concede chances against SKC last week. It’s not as if SKC are a particularly strong offensive side but the Impact allowed Dom Dwyer to return to form. Overall, I have a feeling Montreal will win the game but getting over the victory line seems to be pretty hard for them right now.. A draw can’t be ruled out either but this should be a higher scoring contest the way that both teams have been playing recently.

Prediction: 2-1

Betting analysis

Montreal are actually a tempting price here on a -0.25 handicap. But I got stung with them last week when they could only draw for me. They are similar to Orlando at the moment and aren’t finding it easy to register maximum point hauls. They concede goals when ahead too often for my liking. I think they’ll win but this week I’m opting not to back them. Instead, I’ll have a piece of the over 2.5 goals line. My senses tell me this will be an open game containing chances at both ends. Neither backline is particularly convincing right now, especially New England’s. For those wanting a more juicer price then over 2.75 is perfectly acceptable. Something is drawing me to this 2-1 scoreline though which is why I’m going to be slightly conservative and simply opt for a straightforward over 2.5 pick.

Recommended bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.75 (minimum odds acceptable 1.65)
Alternative line: Over 2.75 goals (minimum odds acceptable 1.90)

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One thought on “USA MLS – Montreal Impact v New England Preview (2/7/16)

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