Norway Tippeligaen – Start v Bodo Glimt Preview (8/7/16)

START - BODO

Start preview

It’s been a miserable last twelve months for Start. Failure to beat Haugesund last time out means they’ve now gone over a whole calendar year without victory in the Tippeligaen. This is a truly horrific run and it’s difficult to see how the team get out of trouble. However, such is the level of quality in this league in 2016 that a victory here would actually move them just three points behind Bodo Glimt. So there’s some hope for Start if they can manage to regroup. To be fair, they did play quite well for an hour last week at FKH against one of the better sides in the league. If they can convert their chances during good spells here and play a more consistent game then who knows. Injury news is favourable and they have pretty much a full squad to chose from.

Bodo Glimt preview

Glimt did well to grind out a 0-0 draw against Rosenborg last week. Few people gave them a chance of avoiding victory and it was a massive shock to see them keep a clean sheet. They had goalkeeper Sander Thomas to thank for that but he’s now injured for 8 weeks after some surgery. Glimt could welcome back Iceland keeper Halldorsson, who had an excellent Euro 2016 campaign. But he’s set to leave the club following a loan spell from NEC Nijmegen in mid July, so who knows if he’ll be available here. Bodo themselves have had a tough run of results, only winning one match since early April. That victory was at local rivals Tromso but in their other away games the northern outfit have suffered 4 out of 5 defeats. Often renowned as a great counter attacking side, the final ball or finishing touch has been letting them down all campaign. Team news is favourable with nobody of significance ruled out.

Conclusion

Start haven’t won a Tippeligaen match for over a year and Bodo have only tasted victory once since early April. This is a meeting between arguably the two worst sides in the league right now. Neither will be heading into the contest with much confidence but both will be seeing this as a ‘must win’ encounter. For Start, it’s getting towards last chance saloon territory. If they can’t win a match like this then they probably never will. But many people said the same just prior to the summer break and they got battered 0-5 by Stabaek here! I’ve personally always had a theory that when two poor sides play each other, goals are scored. This applies in many leagues, even somewhere like France. The simple fact is both will fancy their chances here and nothing less than victory is acceptable. There’s no way Start can accept a draw and I’d imagine Bodo push for three points. Recent results might point towards a tight, low scoring encounter. But I expect a much more open contest, containing a surprising amount of goals. The final outcome could literally be anything so I’ll predict both sides share the points in a high scorer.

Prediction: 2-2

Betting analysis

In terms of match outcome, I think you’d have to have to be crazy to bet on either side! The bookies have the asian line set DNB, with Start as slight favourites. It’s sort of ridiculous that Start are actually favourites to win a game of football but this is one of the rare matches in which they have a better chance. You could toss a coin here in order to pick the winner, I wouldn’t touch it with monopoly money! However, I am tempted enough by the over/under market. As aforementioned, in these type of fixtures where two poor teams face each other, I’m usually on the side over the overs. These sort of games can often be more open than expected and I think there’ll be at least three goals scored here. Over 2.5 can be backed @ 1.82, but in this instance I’m happy to take over 2.75 @ 2.05. I’ll take my chances with the bigger line simply because I feel things have the potential to go really end to end.

Recommended bet: Over 2.75 goals @ 2.05 (minimum odds acceptable 1.90)

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One thought on “Norway Tippeligaen – Start v Bodo Glimt Preview (8/7/16)

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