Norway Tippeligaen – Tromso v Haugesund Preview (9/7/16)

TIL -FKH

Tromso preview

Tromso looked as if they’d made good use of the summer break as they impressively beat Lillestrom 4-2 away from home last week. The northerners were much the better team in that encounter and fully deserved the three points. What was noticeable was how strong their midfield and attack looked. Unusually for them, there seemed a real cohesion in the attacking third. A few defensive errors threatened to cost them victory and for this match they’ll be missing number one goalkeeper Gudmund Kongshavn because of injury. Key man at the back Simen Wangberg is suspended, along with striker Sofiane Moussa. Historically, Tromso are excellent at home and poor away but bizarrely they come into this match on the back of two straight home defeats. That is something they will look to rectify but if they play like they did last week it’s hard to see them losing.

Haugesund preview

Haugesund have been one of the surprises of 2016 and currently sit fifth in the table. They laboured to victory last week, coming from behind to beat Start 2-1.FKH weren’t particularly impressive last week but they got the job done. Mark Dempsey has had them playing in an unusual 3-5-2 formation all season and they are a unique side in the Tippeligaen with their own style. On the road, it seems they are all or nothing. So far, they’ve won 3 and lost 4 away from home with no draws. The midfield duo of Alexander Stolas & Eirik Maeland missed last week’s match due to injury, so both have to be classed as doubtful here. Haugesund have no suspensions to worry about.

Conclusion

This is a match I’m quite excited about. Tromso look like they might be coming into some good form, whilst Haugesund have been playing some decent football all year. It’s a shame that the hosts miss two important defensive players to suspension but I’m not too sure it will affect them negatively. It was their offense which looked so strong last week and I think it could power them to victory again. Haugesund are a decent side but this is never an easy trip north to Tromso. I just think home advantage could prove crucial come the final whistle and TIL just edge proceedings. Tromso have a reputation for being boring and low scoring, but there’s every chance this could develop into a high scoring contest.

Prediction: 3-2

Betting analysis

Taking Tromso -0.25 @ 2.04 looks a good price, I can’t see them losing three consecutive home games and at worst a half loss should occur from this bet. I also think over 2.5 goals is worth backing. A lot more TIL games have been ending over recently and it seems their attitude has changed to be more positive. If allowed to play, Haugesund are a naturally attack minded team as well. I’m willing to take both bets here and if both win then it’s a great outcome. But there would also be profit if this ended as a high scoring draw so I’m happy with this combination. I am more confident with the over bet but I can’t ignore the juicy price on Tromso as well.

Recommended bet: Tromso -0.25 @ 2.04 (minimum odds acceptable 1.90)
Recommended bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.87 (minimum odds acceptable 1.70)

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One thought on “Norway Tippeligaen – Tromso v Haugesund Preview (9/7/16)

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