Norway Tippeligaen – Viking v Stromsgodset Preview (9/7/16)

VIK-SIF

Viking preview

The hosts played a very good tactical game against Molde last week, eventually prevailing 1-0. They completely shut down their opponents and restricted chances really well. That is often the Viking game plan on the road and their defensive ability has to be respected. Having said that, they do miss two key parts of their regular defence for this contest. Centre back AJ Soares has left the club in the last week or so, and key man Andre Danielsen is suspended. The latter is one of the best right backs in the whole league so his loss could be felt heavily. Apart from these issues though, Viking are at full strength. It will be interesting to see who gets the start upfront. Icelandic striker Patrick Pedersen has been a complete flop, and yet again youngster Mathias Bringaker came off the bench to score last week.

Stromsgodset preview

SIF were involved in the most entertaining Tippeligaen contest last weekend, eventually prevailing 4-2 against Aalesund. That match was typical Stromsgodset in the last few years, with many chances at both ends of the field. They head into this match with all of their last seven fixture ending with over 2.5 goals in them. Godset are a really attacking side but they also leave holes at the back which can cost them dearly. For this match, midfielder Mohammed Abu Returns from suspension but Francesco Junior is still banned. Centre back Marius Hoibraten is injured, along with attacking playmaker Tokmac Nguyen. Godset have the best home record in the league but on the road they are often below par, something which has been occurring for a number of years. Their only away win so far was at lowly Stabaek and this will be a test for them.

Conclusion

Interesting match here between 3rd and 4th in the table. Both teams are locked on exactly the same points and have an identical record. The only difference is that Godset have scored more goals and have a better goal difference. Many people see Viking as a defensive and under type team. In some games I would definitely agree, but I feel like a lot of their matches really should’ve contained a lot more goals in them. It will be interesting to see how they cope without Soares again, and losing Danielsen is a big blow for this game. Viking are quite strong at home but Godset have plenty of quality and can’t be underestimated. I did mention they are dodgy on the road, but in all fairness they’ve been to some really tricky locations like Odd, Rosenborg & Molde already this season. This should be a really good game and highly competitive. Godset are the sort of side who can suck sides into a goal fest and unlike a lot of teams, certainly won’t be coming here looking for a 0-0 draw or a point. If I had to back anyone to win then it’d be Viking, but I think something like a 2-2 draw could be on the cards.

Prediction: 2-2

Betting analysis

Godset come here on the back of seven consecutive over 2.5 matches, but many people see a big clash of styles today. Viking are more known for being an under team but I can think of a number of matches like Bodo at home (2-0), Stabaek away (0-1) in which I have no idea how at least 2 or 3 more goals weren’t scored! In other fixtures they’ve been unfortunate to come up against some really negative tams like Brann and Sogndal who were perfectly happy with a 0-0 draw. Godset force sides into shootouts and I think this will be an end to end contest. Therefore, over 2.5 looks an acceptable price around the 1.80 mark. I’d be willing to back this anything 1.70+. In this instance I won’t be greedy and back over 2.75 line, even though I do think that will fully cover as well. Viking are favourites on a -0.25 handicap and that seems fair to me. They probably won’t lose this game but Godset have the quality to cause problems and if they are clinical with chances then it’s possible they could leave with all three points. So I’ll leave that market alone and stick with the simple over 2.5.

Recommended bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 (minimum odds acceptable 1.70)

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One thought on “Norway Tippeligaen – Viking v Stromsgodset Preview (9/7/16)

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