USA MLS – San Jose Earthquakes v FC Dallas Preview (8/7/16)

SJ-DAL

San Jose Preview

The hosts are winless in six MLS games heading into this contest. The big problem they’ve had during this period is player absences, especially key man Chris Wondolowski upfront and a number of defensive absentees. Again here, there are doubts surrounding the participation most of the backline. The likes of Bernardez, Imperiale, Sarkodie are all doubtful, whilst Clarence Goodson, Jordan Stewart and Kip Colvey are all out. San Jose should be at full strength in midfield and attack. This didn’t do them much good last week against Chicago though when they fell to a very disappointing 0-1 defeat. The whole performance was extremely flat and they hardly created anything. San Jose are known for being poor away from home but that display was really concerning. At home, they’ve won 5 out of 8 games, and yet to suffer defeat.

Dallas preview

The visitors romped to a 4-0 win against Orlando on Monday night in what was their best performance of the season. On another day they might easily have netted 6 or 7 goals, that’s how good they were. Dallas have been in the upper reaches of the Western Conference all season and have been considered one of the favourites to win the MLS Cup right from the opening day. However, it is worth mentioning they’ve lost 5 of their 9 away games and most of their better performances come at home. The Texan outfit should travel to the west coast in good condition squad wise. Only defender Zach Loyd is doubtful with concussion.

Conclusion

I have a bit of a feeling this is a ‘trap game’ for Dallas. Everyone has been singing their praises this week and that sort of thing might have gotten to the players heads a bit. Some of their away performances this season have been less than impressive, especially against teams who sit deep and deny their fast forwards space. San Jose coach Dominic Kinnear is an astute tactical coach and will probably have a gameplan to contain Dallas. I could see the visitors dominating possession a and maybe even having the best chances, but the Quakes managing to grind out a result. I don’t think this will be a pretty match, there’s too much of a clash of styles. Finally, bear in mind circadian rhythms. This match will finish close to midnight Dallas time, so the body clocks of a number of guys will be out of sync. I’m going to predict a tight San Jose win and Dallas to produce a below par display, However, after Monday night I don’t say that with too much confidence.

Prediction: 1-0

Betting analysis

For a side that’s so strong at home, then 1.82 on a DNB handicap looks quite big on San Jose. In a league like MLS, backing home teams on this sort of handicap is definitely a good percentage play. But I personally need more assurance and confidence that my team can deliver the goods. San Jose did not impress me last Friday night and if they play like that again, then Dallas will have a great chance of winning. Can the visitors back up such a great win in this short space of time though? San Jose have had an extra three days of rest for this fixture, so if I had to bet on a side, it’d be them. The over/under line is set at 2.25 here and might tempt some people. This has the feeling of a potential tight game though and both teams will be difficult to penetrate. So I would actually favour the unders, but with this sort of goal line then it’s not really worth it. Overall, it looks like another match to stay clear of and I won’t get involved.

Recommended bet: None

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One thought on “USA MLS – San Jose Earthquakes v FC Dallas Preview (8/7/16)

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