USA MLS – New England Revolution v Columbus Crew Preview (9/7/16)

NE-CC

New England preview

New England were disappointing at home to New York City on Wednesday night, losing 0-1 in a match they probably should’ve gotten something out of. But missed chances ultimately cost them, even though there was a touch of fortune about NYC’s goal. Everyone presumed the arrival of Kei Kamara would solve their striker problems. He has only scored twice so far though, both of which came in one match. He hasn’t made the impact they hoped (yet) and continues to drift too far wide for my liking. He is most effective when completely central. The Revs have only lost twice at home all year and are usually strong at the Gillette Stadium. However, heading into the match on the back of three defeats, plus a short week of rest is hardly ideal.

Columbus Crew preview

The Crew are another side who have badly underachieved so far this season. Last year’s beaten MLS Cup finalists are languishing second bottom of the Eastern Conference and really need to pick up form if they are to make the playoffs this term. They have won just 1 of their last 9 games and problems in all areas of the field have plagued them this year. Key playmaker Federico Higuain is still out injured and their top defender Gaston Sauro is sidelined until next season with an ACL. On the positive side, Ola Kamara has at least been scoring goals and seems one of the hotter strikers in MLS right now. The Crew have yet to win away from home this season and that’s hardly a surprise. Even during their run to the MLS Cup final they weren’t particularly known for being good on the road.

Conclusion

All the focus and attention will be on Kei Kamara here. He was traded to New England a couple of months ago after falling out with Columbus. In 2015 he was one of the best strikers in MLS but this term he’s been poor for both Columbus and also his new team New England Nevertheless, he’ll be super motivated to deliver the goods here and how often do players like him come back and haunt their old side? It’s uncanny how frequently it occurs! I think we will see quite an open game. Neither team can defend properly at the moment. Despite both attack forces being hit or miss, I sense there will be a hatful of goals. I could see the match ending something like a 2-2 draw. It’s pretty difficult to predict a winner due to the unreliability of both.

Prediction: 2-2

Betting analysis

I’m surprised the goal line offered is in between 2.5 and 2.75 @. I personally had this down as an odds-on over 2.75 line all day long. So I will happily back this over @ a juicy price and even if it was only a half winner, the payout would be decent. It’s the sort of match in which both teams will probably fancy their chances, leading to an open encounter. There’s no real reason for either to be operating defensively, and even if they wanted to it’s dubious if either is capable of defending well. So I’m firmly in the over court, but regarding the match market I won’t get involved. New England are around evens which feels a bit short. But who could trust either side right now? There’s no need to get involved there but I do very much like the feel of this over 2.75.

Recommended bet: Over 2.75 goals @ 2.02 (minimum odds acceptable 1.75)

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One thought on “USA MLS – New England Revolution v Columbus Crew Preview (9/7/16)

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