Norway Tippeligaen – Stromsgodset v Tromso Preview (17/7/16)

SIF-TIL

Stromsgodset preview

SIF are now a clear third in the league after beating off rivals Viking 1-0 last week. In truth, it was a really disappointing game of football and both sides were really cautious. This is unusual for Godset but I’d imagine they return to their normal attacking style here. At Marienlyst Stadion they’ve won their last seven Tippeligaen matches, many of them by a comfortable margin. Something about this place seems to breed attacking football and Godset often play at a fast pace. One thing that will slightly hinder them here is the fact they played on Thursday night in the Europa League away in Denmark. Its possible Godset might be negatively affected both mentally and physically, who knows. The squad is in good condition with only attacker Tokmac Nguen a serious doubt. Centre back Marius Hoibraten has been out of action recently, but returned to the bench midweek so might be in contention to start here. Key striker Marcus Pedersen is suspended.

Tromso preview

I have to say performance wise, Tromso are playing as well as I’ve seen them in the Tippeligaen for many years. It really does seem as if they used the summer break wisely because they’ve come back and looked great going forwards. Tromso are known for being quite a negative team but their approach seems to have changed in recent weeks. The likes of Olsen, Ingebrigtsen, Asen & Andersen have all been in great form. One of their usual strikers Sofiene Moussa was suspended last week against Haugesund but should return here. Centre back Simen Wangberg is another who will be coming back from a ban. The feeling around Tromso seems good right now and they are even enjoying life on their travels, which is very unusual. Unbeaten in three road games, TIL have won back to back away fixtures for the first time in god knows how long!

Conclusion

This should set up to be a good game of football. In total 6 out of 8 Godset home games have ended over 2.5 this season, and the few that didn’t both ended 2-0. Five of those aforementioned games contained at least four goals in them. It’s just the nature of matches at Marienlyst which promote attacking football and the atmosphere usually helps as well. The big question is exactly what sort of approach Tromso take here. Will it be their more recent change to a more offensive mindset, or will they revert back to being at team hard to break down and effectively park the bus? A lot of people will presume this is a banker Stromsgodset win, but I’m not so sure. Troms are playing well and have had a full week of rest compared to their opponents who travelled to Denmark in the Europa league. If a team is to win then I’d still suggest the hosts are more likely, but I wouldn’t be surprised if TIL got a result. My pick for the match is over 3 goals which looks acceptable around the 1.80-90 mark.. This is a slightly risky bet because of the Pedersen suspension. But the way both teams are playing right now, at very worst this bet should end up as a push.

Prediction: 2-2
Recommended bet: Over 3 goals @ 1.88 (minimum price acceptable 1.80)

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