USA MLS – FC Dallas v Chicago Fire Preview (16/7/16)

DAL-CF

FC Dallas preview

The Texans have had an excellent season but suffered a horrible 0-5 loss at Seattle in midweek. In some ways this isn’t a surprise though. Dallas rested most of their entire XI, either to the bench or completely out of the game. This has been done on a few occasions this season and they’ve actually suffered a few humbling away losses in this fashion. So I personally wouldn’t look too much into it, Dallas remain one of the best sides in MLS and the opinion of some people is that they are the best. Injuries and suspensions have generally been kind to the hosts this season and once again nobody is ruled out here except defender Zach Loyd, who wouldn’t even be a starter anyway. Left back Maynor Figueroa is suspended though. They have plenty of quality in the final third like Fabian Castillo & Maxi Urruti. Dallas have a great 7-3-0 home record this season and in recent years they’ve been one of the most formidable teams in front of their own fans.

Chicago Fire preview

The Fire actually head into this match having won 2 of their last 3 games. They are unbeaten in seven home matches but on the road it’s a different story. It’s been over 2 years and a total of 33 MLS matches since they last tasted success on their travels. Few will fancy them here, although surprisingly they have a great record against Dallas, winning the last four H2H encounters. The Fire are a limited side though, despite the recent signing of Michael de Leeuw who arrives from Groningen and scored his first goal for the club in midweek. Chicago beat SKC 1-0 on Wednesday night, although god knows how. They were outshot 3-18 and somehow managed to hold on to an early advantage. It’s no secret that they’ll come here parking the bus trying to remain as hard to break down as possible, maybe in a five man defensive formation. Chicago won’t have much possession or create many chances tonight.

Conclusion & Betting analysis

The first thing to mention here is that this is actually a big rivalry match. The two teams play for something called the ‘Brimstone Cup’ and despite each city being a long way from each other, passions could run high. Chicago have dominated the rivalry in the last four years, but it’s difficult to make a case for them tonight. The simple fact is Dallas are much the better team with loads more quality. They should be really fresh after resting starters in midweek, whilst the Fire had to graft hard for a tight 1-0 success. Chicago are awful away and Dallas superb at home. This really looks like an obvious home victory, the only question is exactly by how many goals? A surprising statistic is that Chicago have only lost one match by more than a one goal margin this season. That’s because they generally stay in matches due to a tight defence and being hard to break down. I just don’t see how they stay close to Dallas here though, something like a 2-0 or 3-0 home win is screaming out to me. I’m willing to take the hosts on a -1 asian handicap anything 1.65+. If they win by one goal then the outcome would be a complete refund, which I can live with. At very worst Dallas should be getting a tight win, and in all honestly I expect them to bounce back from their midweek humiliation quite convincingly.

Prediction: 3-0
Recommended bet: Dallas -1 (asian) @ 1.74 (minimum odds acceptable 1.65)

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One thought on “USA MLS – FC Dallas v Chicago Fire Preview (16/7/16)

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